THE BATTLE for places in the top eight could hardly be hotter.

Clear frontrunner Sydney holds a two-win advantage over a chasing pack of finals hopefuls that arguably stretches to as many as 13 teams.

Brisbane and St Kilda have hung on to the lower end of that group of contenders in recent weeks and now meet in what looms as a critical clash for both sides to open round 14 on Friday night.

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Adelaide's season is unravelling and it now faces the Swans for the first time since the controversial ending to their match late last year, with the two sides taking vastly different paths since then.

But the most highly-anticipated match of the round is between the lowly Richmond and resurgent Hawthorn with Dustin Martin set to play his 300th match on Saturday.

Here is what to expect across round 14 and a tip for all six matches, as Carlton, Essendon, Geelong, Gold Coast, Melbourne and West Coast enjoy the bye.

Brisbane v St Kilda, Gabba
Friday, June 14, 7.40pm AEST

Last time: Brisbane 9.18 (72) d St Kilda 9.6 (60), R24 2023

What it means

Brisbane (5-6-1) is showing signs of returning to the sort of form that made it a top-four regular in recent seasons. The Lions impressed when brushing aside Western Bulldogs last week, but the 2023 runner-up now needs to make it back-to-back victories for the first time since round five if they are to stay in touch with the top eight.

St Kilda (5-8) rode its own luck to clinch a second consecutive victory in a nailbiter against Gold Coast, a week after turning around its form in the second against West Coast. But the Saints are still two wins out of the top eight with a poor percentage all but putting them a further game behind, and can ill-afford to slip up even against the gradually improving Lions.  

Game shapers

Eric Hipwood had come under fire for a lack of contribution as the Lions stumbled through the first half of the season, managing only 11 goals in 10 matches for his worst average return since his 2016 debut. That was until the key forward matched his equal-biggest haul with six majors against the Bulldogs to breathe fresh life into his, and his side's, season.

Jack Sinclair added a spark to what was at times a dull contest against the travel-sick Suns, at least until the Saints snatched victory in the dying stages. The Saints' dasher was often seen playing behind the ball and crucially had seven rebounds among his 31 classy disposals, but can expect more midfield time this week against the Lions' deep on-ball brigade.

Early tip: Brisbane by 11 points

Western Bulldogs v Fremantle, Marvel Stadium
Saturday, June 15, 1.45pm AEST

Last time: Fremantle 14.11 (95) d Western Bulldogs 10.11 (71), R7 2024

What it means

The Western Bulldogs (6-7) continued their rollercoaster ride of a season with a disappointing defeat on home turf to Brisbane only a week after showing such promising signs in a win over Collingwood. The Bulldogs continue to be hit hard by injury with fresh problems now at both ends of the field, but again have their key personnel in the midfield to stay in the finals hunt.

Fremantle (7-4-1) is coming off a bye following its crushing win over Melbourne by 92 points, with the rampant display sending a warning shot across the competition. The Dockers piled on 22 goals against the Demons as they showed strong signs that their under-fire ball movement and forward set up are now clicking into gear. 

Game shapers

Tim English will carry a bigger load than usual this week as the Bulldogs edge closer to running out of tall timber both as support in the ruck and at either end of the field. English won't be helped by coming up against a Dockers outfit that can turn to height in multiple positions as a strength, and might want to push forward more to find a fresh way to make an impact.

Jye Amiss built a reputation as a sharpshooter with 45.18 through his first 23 matches to the end of last season, but he was unable to find the same range during a lean start to this year. The 20-year-old had booted 14.15 from 10 matches and managed only four goals in five matches until bouncing back with four straight goals against the Demons in a reminder of his talents.

Early tip: Western Bulldogs by nine points

Richmond v Hawthorn, MCG
Saturday, June 15, 4.35pm AEST

Last time: Richmond 14.12 (96) d Hawthorn 15.5 (95), R19 2023

What it means

Richmond (2-11) had impressed even in narrow defeats to Essendon and Geelong in recent weeks but few would have seen their stirring victory coming on the road against Adelaide. The Tigers can now ride that wave of momentum into an emotional encounter this week as they return to the MCG for Dustin Martin's 300th match.

Hawthorn (6-7) is flying as one of the most in-form teams in the competition after six wins from its past eight matches well and truly putting a horror start to the season behind it. The Hawks can start eyeing a surprise return to finals, especially if they can make the most of playing the Tigers and Eagles either side of a bye.

Game shapers

Dustin Martin might not embrace the limelight off the field but few, if any, players have made a greater impact on the grandest stages. The three-time Norm Smith medallist will again be the centre of attention in his 300th match and will be coming in refreshed and raring to go after taking the week off ahead of his milestone. The midfield star helped the Tigers return to form with five goals in two matches before being managed against the Crows last week.

James Worpel was struggling to find as much of the ball as usual just as the Hawks started to turn their season around, but he seems to have rediscovered his role. The lean patch was partly due to teammate Will Day returning to the side, but Worpel looks comfortable again as he spends more time in the midfield and adds balance to the Hawks' on-ball brigade.

Early tip: Hawthorn by 14 points

Adelaide v Sydney, Adelaide Oval
Saturday, June 15, 7pm ACST

Last time: Sydney 11.8 (74) d Adelaide 10.13 (73), R23 2023

What it means

Adelaide's (4-8-1) finals hopes are on the brink of collapse after failing to win either of its back-to-back matches against sides around the same mark in Richmond and Hawthorn. The Crows have next to no margin for error as they sit three wins outside the top eight and in 15th place, but must find a way to stun the high-flying Swans that broke their hearts in controversial fashion late last year.  

Sydney (11-1) brushed aside its latest challenger in Geelong, even after giving up a six-goal lead. The Swans' midfield, including ruck recruit Brodie Grundy, was the key to the 65-point turnaround but with their defensive and forward groups also firing, it appears that only complacency against an opponent looking for a dose of revenge might prevent a ninth win on the trot.

Game shapers

Max Michalanney has been one of few Crows to grow their reputation this year especially since the 20-year-old has stepped out of his role as a lockdown defender and more into the midfield. The father-son pick up could be asked to combine those two skill sets as the Crows come up against the Swans' imperious on-ball brigade that is a key to their success.

Errol Gulden might be playing off the back of a top-five finish in the Brownlow Medal last year but has been able to fly under the radar at times during the Swans' blistering first half of the season. The tireless midfielder has perhaps been overshadowed by the form of Isaac Heeney and Chad Warner, but was back to his brilliant best against the Cats with a season-high 37 disposals as the Swans set themselves as the team to beat.

Early tip: Sydney by 21 points

North Melbourne v Collingwood, Marvel Stadium
Sunday, June 16, 1pm AEST

Last time: Collingwood 16.9 (105) d North Melbourne 10.10 (70), R11 2023

What it means

North Melbourne (1-11) will enter a match riding a wave of momentum from a victory the week beforehand for the first time in more than a year. The Roos showed encouraging signs for the future as they built a 33-point lead over the Eagles, but were all the more impressive for bouncing back even after giving up that advantage to snatch their breakthrough win. 

Collingwood (7-4-2) is building nicely into the season even as several influential players remain sidelined, with some unavailable for multiple weeks to come. The Pies might look to rest rather than risk some more of their key players, especially with the lowly Kangaroos up next with a bye to follow.

Game shapers

Jy Simpkin has stumbled through an injury-hit first half of the season that started with being on the receiving end of a horror high hit on the cusp of round one. But the Kangaroos' inspirational skipper was back to his best in the win over the Eagles with season-highs for 28 disposals, five clearances and two goals, with the latter including the major that reclaimed the lead in the dying stages. 

Brayden Maynard seemed to relish his role as the villain as he was targeted by opponents and booed by Demons fans whenever he touched the ball until the Pies gradually dismantled their opposition. The rugged defender will again be in the spotlight this week, this time to celebrate his 200th match while enjoying near-career highs for disposals and rebounds.

Early tip: Collingwood by 27 points

Greater Western Sydney v Port Adelaide, Engie Stadium
Sunday, June 16, 4pm AEST

Last time: Greater Western Sydney 13.15 (93) d Port Adelaide 9.16 (70), SF 2023

What it means

Greater Western Sydney (7-5) sits in the top eight only on percentage after giving up any advantage it had built with its early-season surge, suffering five defeats in the past seven matches. The Giants have been hit hard by injury to key players but have few excuses for failing to run out games after being outscored in the second half in their past five games and by a total of 36 goals, compared to their 19.

Port Adelaide (8-4) held onto its place in the top four even while having the weekend off with a bye. The Power will have appreciated the extra time to prepare for the return bout against the side that knocked them out of the finals last season, although they will face the Giants in unfamiliar surroundings with just their third ever visit to Engie Stadium and their first since 2013.

Game shapers

Brent Daniels was the leader of the Giants' mosquito fleet as they made an undefeated start to the season through their opening five matches, booting seven goals and directly assisting the same. But the 25-year-old had struggled to hit those same heights since being struck down with injury in the Giants' first defeat of the season against the Blues, until rediscovering his touch against the Hawks with 27 disposals as he added a spark to the midfield.

Ollie Wines has been in the spotlight for less than ideal reasons after he was substituted out of the clash with Hawthorn due to heart palpitations, and has more recently been linked with a move away from Port Adelaide. But the former co-captain has brushed all that aside to gather 26 disposals in consecutive weeks while also hitting the scoreboard as his versatility turns into a key weapon for the Power.

Early tip: Greater Western Sydney by 17 points

BRISBANE survived an almighty final-quarter scare from St Kilda to win by 20 points at the Gabba on Friday night and keep its finals chances well and truly alive.

The Lions led by 37 points at three-quarter time but watched their advantage dwindle all the way to just seven points before a Logan Morris goal steadied the ship.

LIONS v SAINTS Full match coverage and stats

When Joe Daniher kicked his fifth goal of the night moments later from the junction of the 50m arc and the boundary line and Charlie Cameron followed suit shortly after, the home team had done enough to survive.

They won 19.12 (126) to 16.10 (106) in what became an unexpected shootout.

It squares their ledger at six wins, six losses and a draw ahead of a crucial trip to Port Adelaide next Saturday.

Daniher was magnificent for the victors, kicking his goals from 20 disposals and 13 marks, while Dayne Zorko ((30) and Hugh McCluggage (26) were also decisive with their ball use.

The Saints trailed all night, but every time Brisbane looked like putting the game away, they fought back.

And unlike last week's win over Gold Coast, they released the shackles and played exciting football to give themselves a chance, with Jack Higgins kicking five goals.

Liam Henry's second half move into the midfield gave Ross Lyon's team a spark, while Jack Sinclair had his usual strong impact.

But the Lions were the better team for longer, intent on moving the ball quickly to get around the stout St Kilda defence.

They raced to a 31-point lead at quarter-time, shifting the ball quickly, with players taking no more than a second or two to move it on and restrict the Saints' ability to set up.

Unable to win a clearance – they trailed that stat 13-1 at the first change – Brisbane feasted on turnover, with Zorko often the architect, pinging the ball from half-back.

They were able to isolate their dangerous forwards, with Daniher, Morris, Cal Ah Chee, Cam Rayner and Kai Lohmann all kicking goals after marks inside 50.

What looked like one-way traffic early in the night ever-so-slowly changed in the second quarter.

Higgins lifted his team back into the contest with three goals in an eight-minute burst, including two bombs from 50m.

Brisbane had begun bombing the ball into numbers and the Saints were able to use their hard-running to find space on the outside and give themselves a chance at the main break.

Brisbane making a charge for the eight
For the first time this season, the Lions have reached parity with six wins, six losses and a draw. While they are still outside the top eight with nine rounds remaining, the past fortnight has shown they're on the rise. The midfield is as strong as ever and their potent forward line is back to its high-scoring best. An away trip to Port Adelaide followed by home matches against Melbourne and Adelaide presents a stretch of matches that could help define their season.

The Windhager tag on Neale
There was absolutely no surprises to see Marcus Windhager go straight to Lachie Neale at the first bounce and spend all four quarters shadowing the two-time Brownlow medallist. Like he did last week against Gold Coast co-captain Touk Miller, Windhager niggled, scragged, grabbed and did whatever possible to limit his opponent's influence. For large portions, it worked. Neale had three touches in the first quarter and nine at half-time, but eventually worked himself into the contest to finish with 20 disposals, seven clearances and two goal assists to at least share the points, and probably get his nose in front.

Dan Butler on report
We don't often see reports these days, but Dan Butler will be in the crosshairs of Match Review Officer Michael Christian after a second quarter trip on Lion Ryan Lester. With the veteran defender streaming through the middle of the Gabba, Butler executed a rugby league-style ankle tap to bring his opponent to ground. He was immediately reported for tripping.

BRISBANE      7.2    10.5    15.9    19.12 (126)
ST KILDA        2.1    6.6      9.8     16.10 (106)

GOALS
Brisbane: Daniher 5, Morris 3, Hipwood 2, Lohmann 2, McCluggage 2, Ah Chee, Cameron, McInerney, Rayner, Starcevich
St Kilda: Higgins 5, King 3, Butler 2, Henry 2, Owens 2, Wilson, Wood

BEST
Brisbane: Zorko, Daniher, McCluggage, Wilmot, Berry, Lester
St Kilda: Sinclair, Higgins, Wood, Henry, Wilkie, Wilson

LATE CHANGES
Brisbane: Nil
St Kilda: Cooper Sharman, replaced in the selected side by Tom Campbell

INJURIES
Brisbane: Nil
St Kilda: Henry (ankle)

SUBSTITUTES
Brisbane: Noah Answerth (replaced Conor McKenna at three-quarter time)
St Kilda: Zac Jones (replaced Zaine Cordy in the third quarter)

Crowd: 27,445 at the Gabba