LANCE Franklin is long gone, and Isaac Heeney is now a midfielder, yet Sydney's scoring efficiency is through the roof early in 2024.
The Swans knew for a while 'life after Buddy' was coming, and early indications are they'll be just fine as one of the game's best ever has sailed off into retirement.
Through three rounds, John Longmire's team is scoring almost three goals a game more than 2023 from just a handful more inside 50s.
They're taking more marks in the danger zone and are more efficient when going in there.
And although it's a small sample, they haven't exactly played competition cellar dwellers. Melbourne was the second most frugal defence last season, Collingwood the third, and Essendon (15th) – well, not so good.
So how are the Swans doing it?
Firstly, let's look at their scoring sources, courtesy of Champion Data.
Last season just shy of 60 per cent of their scores came from turnovers. It accounted for 53 points a game. Turnover is generally where most scores in the competition come from and the best correlation to success.
This year that number has skyrocketed to 72 a game and almost 68 per cent of their score.
Sydney's forward improvement
2023 | 2024 | Change | |
Points for | 89.1 | 106.3 | +19% |
Points from turnover | 52.8 | 71.7 | +36% |
Points from clearance | 33.2 | 34.0 | +2% |
Inside 50s | 53.8 | 58.3 | +8% |
Marks inside 50 | 11.9 | 15.7 | +32% |
Score per inside 50% | 44.9% | 50.9% | +13% |
The entire extra three goals Sydney is scoring in each match is coming directly from turnover. Force a mistake and counter-attack against a less set defence – seems easy, right?
With just four extra inside 50s each match, Sydney is taking an extra four marks inside 50 and scoring better than every second time it goes in there.
While Buddy was clearly the player most targeted last year – and even in his farewell season, why wouldn't you? – this year is so much different.
Swans forward 50 targets - 2023
Player | Targets |
Lance Franklin | 95 |
Logan McDonald | 71 |
Tom Papley | 65 |
Hayden McLean | 63 |
Isaac Heeney | 61 |
Hayden McLean (13), Logan McDonald (12), Tom Papley (10), Will Hayward (10) and Heeney (10) are not far apart as the player looked for most.
Subsequently the scoring has been shared. McDonald and Papley have six goals apiece, as does Chad Warner, while Hayward and McLean have five and Heeney four.
Swans forward 50 targets - 2024
Player | Targets |
Hayden McLean | 13 |
Logan McDonald | 12 |
Isaac Heeney | 10 |
Tom Papley | 10 |
Will Hayward | 10 |
Whether the Swans can continue scoring so heavily from turnover we'll only know later in the season, but one thing is for sure, they're playing to a multi-dimensional forward line that has a host of avenues to goal.