4th: North Melbourne
50 points (12 wins, seven losses, one draw), 102.23 per cent
The run home:
Rd 21: Geelong at Skilled Stadium
Rd 22: Port Adelaide at the MCG
If North Melbourne wins its remaining two games it will stay fourth and meet Geelong again in the first week of the finals, and have the double chance. If the Kangaroos lose one and both Adelaide and the Swans lose at least one game too, they will still remain fourth. But if they lose both games and other games go against them, they could end up eighth.
5th: Adelaide
48 points (12 wins, eight losses), 113.01 per cent
The run home:
Rd 21: St Kilda at Telstra Dome
Rd 22: Western Bulldogs at AAMI Stadium
Four wins in a row have seen the Crows climb the ladder and they still could still steal fourth spot if results go their way provided they win both of their last games. Two losses could see them fall to seventh.
6th: Sydney Swans
46 points (11 wins, 1 draw), 112.77 per cent
The run home:
Rd 21: Collingwood at Telstra Dome
Rd 22: Brisbane Lions at the SCG
The Swans are struggling with two wins from their last seven matches. Two wins and they could finish as high as fourth; two losses and it could be curtains. One more victory will ensure a finals appearance.
7th: Collingwood
44 points (11 wins, nine losses), 111.03 per cent
The run home:
Rd 21: Sydney Swans at Telstra Dome
R22: Fremantle at Subiaco Oval
Collingwood needs at least one more win to guarantee a place in this year’s finals and two victories could shoot them as high as fourth if everyone above them loses their remaining two matches. Two losses, and it could be a year of missed opportunities.
8th: St Kilda
44 points (11 wins, nine losses), 102.56 per cent
The run home:
Rd 21: Adelaide at Telstra Dome
Rd 22: Essendon at the MCG
The Saints need at least one win to cement a place in this year’s premiership race but can’t finish any higher than sixth with their percentage. Two losses and they could end up 10th.
9th: Brisbane Lions
40 points (10 wins, 10 losses), 101.17 per cent
The run home:
Rd 21: Carlton at the Gabba
Rd 22: Sydney Swans at the SCG
Lose both matches and the Lions will remain outside of the eight, but realistically they will need to win both remaining games to see September action for the first time since 2004. The last game against the Swans should be a belter.
10th: Richmond
38 points (nine wins, 10 losses, one draw), 93.16 per cent
The run home:
R 21: Fremantle at the MCG
R 22: Melbourne at the MCG
With their weak percentage and six points adrift, the Tigers have to win both their remaining games and hope other results go their way.
