FREMANTLE young gun Nat Fyfe may be an early smokey for this year's Brownlow Medal, if statistics gurus Champion Data are to be believed.

Fyfe, 21, has established himself as an umpire's favourite in his short career so far, polling 13 votes in 2011 and 14 votes in just nine games last season.

The 2012 tally was well above Champion Data's pre-count prediction, based on its 'expected votes' formula which factors in match results, individual rankings points and past polling history.

Under the formula, Fyfe was expected to poll less than three votes, and the significant difference propelled the eye-catching midfielder to No.1 in the company's umpire bias table for 2012, published in the recently released AFL Prospectus 2013.

TOP 10 BROWNLOW ANOMALIES IN 2012
PlayerActual votes (per game)Expected votes Polling bias
Nathan Fyfe 1.56 0.28 1.28
Trent Cotchin 1.18 0.38 0.8
 
Jobe Watson 1.36 0.57 0.79
Sam Mitchell 1.24 0.5 0.74
Dane Swan 1.39 0.71 0.68
Scott Thompson (Adelaide) 1.14 0.53 0.61
Lenny Hayes 0.86 0.3 0.57
Gary Ablett 1.2 0.69 0.51
Nathan Jones 0.67 0.16 0.51
Patrick Dangerfield 1.05 0.65 0.39
Statistics: Champion Data

With Fyfe now approaching full fitness and confident of playing a full season after undergoing a second shoulder reconstruction last year, he looms as a major vote-grabber in 2013.

But bookmakers have noted his polling potential.

He is currently sits eighth favourite at $13 for the 2013 Brownlow with TAB Sportsbet, ahead of the likes of Chris Judd ($15), Scott Thompson ($17) and Marc Murphy ($17).

"I'm as confident as you can be coming off two [shoulder] surgeries," Fyfe said on Friday.

"I've done all the work I can, so it shouldn't be a problem."

Collingwood's Dane Swan, the 2011 winner, and last year's victor Jobe Watson are equal-favourites for the Brownlow at $9, along with Gary Ablett and Trent Cotchin.